Apr 15, 2016
We have been studying China, with the view that the rapid credit expansion in the Chinese banking system will result in significant credit lossesProceed to the page: http://linkis.com/i3Nc2
"We believe the epicenter of the problem is the Chinese banking system and its coming losses. Once analysts, politicians, and investors alike realize the sheer size of the impending losses and how they compare to the current levels of reserves, all focus will swing to the banking system."
It's almost difficult to believe, but just 8 years ago, in 2007 and right before the world was swept in the worst financial crisis in history, China had only $7.4 trillion in debt, or 158% in consolidated debt/GDP. Since then this debt has risen to over $30 trillion (specifically $28.2 trillion as...
After January's record-smashing CNY3.4 trillion (half a trillion dollars!) surge in aggregate credit expansion in China, the post-lunar-new-year hangover hit hard in February as credit growth tumbled 77% from Janaury's level to just CNY780 ($112bn). This is the weakest February loan growth since...
Hedge Fund Manager Kyle Bass said China’s banking system may see losses of more than four times those suffered by U.S. banks during the last crisis. Bloomberg's Katia Porzecanski reports on "Bloomberg Markets." (Source: Bloomberg)
Read more about Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: China's bad loan conundrum on Business Standard. Non-performing loans in the Chinese banking system stood at RMB 1.27 trillion at the end of 2015. This 'official' figure, however, gives little indication of banks' exposure to the shadow financing...
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Communicating science & development
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